Buy, Hold, Fold: Round 19

With just one week until the start of Fantasy finals, getting our trades right is paramount! Who’s on the chopping block heading into round 19? Get your trade tips and advice for the week with Buy, Hold, Fold!

Buy

Jai Culley ($224K MID/FWD, WCE) – 76

After being selected with the 1st pick in the 2022 mid-season draft, Culley showed every bit that he is a ready made AFL footballer. His tackling (11) was a real feature and should get a good run at it in the last five weeks. A good opportunity for coaches to grab some $$$ and generate some cash late in the season.

Jack Sinclair ($887K DEF/MID, STK) – 146

To my loyal followers, I’m not gonna lie, there is some St Kilda bias in this! However, the numbers don’t lie with Sinclair averaging a mammoth 131 over the past three weeks, bonkers! While it was tough to watch my Sainters trot around and make a mockery of the Friday night timeslot, Sinclair was allowed to roam free and seemed to be involved in every St Kilda chain. Assuming no tags are forthcoming, make him a high priority.

Callum ‘Pills, Thrills’ Mills ($891K DEF, SYD) – 132

After a uncharacteristically horrific 54 back in R16, Mills has returned to his brilliant best with 148 and 132 including a combined 25 tackles. That 54 has pushed his price below $900K and we won’t be seeing him cheaper than this for the rest of the season! All aboard.

In the Mix: Josh Carmichael, Rowan Marshall, Marcus Bontempelli.

Hold

Ben Keays ($813K MID, CROM) – 76

Grrrrrr. After 3×110+ scores in the preceding weeks, Keays struggled to get going and was particularly quiet in the last quarter vs the Pies. He failed to register a mark on his way to a sub-par 76! Whilst this was undoubtedly frustrating for owners, I think Keays bounces back with upcoming fixtures against West Coast and Norf.

Tim English ($837K RUCK/FWD, WB) – 58

Yuck. Timmy’s first real blemish for the season in an around his injuries! Since overcoming concussion, he hasn’t been the same but given his earlier season form he deserves a reprieve. Has a tough matchup vs Melbourne (Gawn/Jackson combo) so can understand coaches looking to shop around.

Nick Daicos ($757K MID/DEF, COLL) – 147

Now this may seem like a no-brainer, but chances are there is a coach or two out there thinking “The aim is to get rid of those on-field rooks ASAP.” In most instances, this is logical and probably the right thing to do! In this case, throw out the textbook! Daicos is looking every bit a keeper and after a massive game vs Crom on the weekend. Only flag may be if he cops more attention from the opposition? Would be a huge compliment to a guy in his first season!

In the Mix: Jordan Dawson, Lachie Neale, Max Gawn.

Fold

Patrick Cripps ($746K MID, CARL) – 84

Crippa just can’t seem to eclipse the 80’s these days with his latest performance adding to a string of mediocre scores (four in a row). We are now at the pointy end of the season and cannot be accepting 80’s from our premos! Hopefully you have a bit of a Warne chest at your disposal to get him up to an uber!

Josh Kelly ($822K MID, GWS) – 57

Kelly battled throughout the game, eventually finishing with a lacklustre 57 from 73% game time. Given he is now set to miss this week through concussion protocols, many coaches will be looking to chase points. This is particularly pertinent for coaches jostling for a position in the top-8 and even top-4!

Jake Soligo ($471K MID, CROM) – 74

Jake has shown his worth as a solid, reliable cash cow over the past ten weeks. However, he has virtually maxed out in price and heads into R19 with a breakeven of 56! Time to grab some cash and use that to get to a big dawg!

In the Mix: Nic ‘Alpha’ Martin, Jed Anderson, Paddy Parnell.

Top 5 Price Rises

  • Josh ‘Psychiatric’ Ward ($483K MID | HAW | 11.55% ownership) +$62K
  • Noah ‘Points Disease’ Cumberland ($211K MID/FWD | RICH | 4.62% ownership) +$57K
  • Robbie Fox ($525K DEF | SYD | 0.54% ownership) +$54K
  • Dane Rampe ($489K DEF | SYD | 1.13% ownership) +$49K
  • Nick ‘Extracting Urine’ Daicos ($757K MID/DEF | COLL | 54.05% ownership) +$46K

Top 5 Price Falls

  • Sam Menegola ($597K MID | GEEL | 0.13% ownership) -$69K
  • Jacob Hopper ($671K MID | GWS | 0.14% ownership) -$53K
  • Tom ‘Bandwagon Fan Club’ Green ($647K MID | 7% ownership) -$48K
  • Brad ‘Astronaut’ Hill ($631K DEF/FWD | STK | 3.2% ownership) -$46K
  • Jarryd Lyons ($696K MID | BL | 1.8% ownership) -$42K

Lowest Breakevens

  • Josh Carmichael Hunt ($278K MID/FWD | COLL | 10.61% ownership) -35
  • Noah ‘Points Disease’ Cumberland ($211K MID/FWD | RICH | 4.62% ownership) -23
  • Jai Culley ($224K MID/FWD | WCE | 14.66% ownership) -10
  • Jase ‘Peter’ Burgoyne ($253K DEF/MID | PA | 20.5% ownership) 1
  • Ash Johnson ($212K FWD | COLL | 4.24% ownership) 2

Highest Breakevens

  • Dayne ‘Dead to me.’ Zorko ($637K MID/DEF | BL | 1.86% ownership) 149
  • Darcy Parish ($824K MID | ESS | 2.92% ownership) 149
  • Tim ‘Speakano’ English ($837K RUCK/FWD | WB | 32.27% ownership) 145
  • A-a-ron Hall ($703K DEF | Patch Adams FC | 8.43% ownership) 141
  • Lachie ‘Jye’s Bunny’ Neale ($854K MID | BL | 47.39% ownership) 141

*Ownership % as of 8pm 18 July 2022. Filtered as relevant.

So who’s on the chopping block in your squad? Share your trade plans in the comments below!

Cheers legends,

Fantasy Fanatic #70

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s